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New England College Polling Center

32 scored general-election polls (2014) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2014 32 3.8 pts D+0.5 80%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2014-10-31 NH-2 House D+11.0 D+10.0 1.0 ✓
2014-10-31 NH-1 House R+9.0 R+3.6 5.4 ✓
2014-10-31 NH Governor D+7.0 D+5.0 2.1 ✓
2014-10-31 NH Senate R+0.5 D+3.2 3.7 ✗
2014-10-24 NH-2 House D+7.0 D+10.0 3.0 ✓
2014-10-24 NH-1 House R+6.0 R+3.6 2.4 ✓
2014-10-24 NH Governor Even D+5.0 5.0 —
2014-10-24 NH Senate R+1.5 D+3.2 4.7 ✗
2014-10-16 NH-2 House D+6.0 D+10.0 4.0 ✓
2014-10-16 NH-1 House R+1.0 R+3.6 2.6 ✓
2014-10-16 NH Governor D+8.2 D+5.0 3.3 ✓
2014-10-16 NH Senate R+0.4 D+3.2 3.6 ✗
2014-10-09 NH-2 House D+3.0 D+10.0 7.0 ✓
2014-10-09 NH-1 House R+3.0 R+3.6 0.6 ✓
2014-10-09 NH Governor D+5.2 D+5.0 0.3 ✓
2014-10-09 NH Senate R+1.1 D+3.2 4.3 ✗
2014-10-03 NH-2 House D+12.0 D+10.0 2.0 ✓
2014-10-03 NH-1 House D+3.0 R+3.6 6.6 ✗
2014-10-03 NH Governor D+10.0 D+5.0 5.1 ✓
2014-10-03 NH Senate D+2.6 D+3.2 0.6 ✓
2014-09-26 NH-2 House D+11.0 D+10.0 1.0 ✓
2014-09-26 NH-1 House R+10.0 R+3.6 6.4 ✓
2014-09-26 NH Governor D+4.0 D+5.0 1.0 ✓
2014-09-26 NH Senate D+0.5 D+3.2 2.7 ✓
2014-09-19 NH-2 House D+11.0 D+10.0 1.0 ✓
2014-09-19 NH-1 House Even R+3.6 3.6 —
2014-09-19 NH Governor D+12.0 D+5.0 7.1 ✓
2014-09-19 NH Senate D+7.3 D+3.2 4.1 ✓
2014-09-10 NH-2 House D+13.0 D+10.0 3.0 ✓
2014-09-10 NH-1 House D+4.0 R+3.6 7.6 ✗
2014-09-10 NH Governor D+15.0 D+5.0 10.1 ✓
2014-09-10 NH Senate D+11.0 D+3.2 7.8 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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