Hellenthal & Associates
4 scored general-election polls (2014) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4 | 6.0 pts | D+0.7 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-18 | AK-1 House | R+17.0 | R+10.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | AK Governor | R+1.0 | D+2.2 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-18 | AK Senate | D+9.4 | R+2.1 | 11.5 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-18 | AK Senate | R+4.5 | R+2.1 | 2.4 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.