Hampton University Center for Public Policy
4 scored general-election polls (2016–2017) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 16.9 pts | R+16.9 | 0% |
| 2016 | 3 | 5.4 pts | R+1.0 | 67% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-10-20 | VA Governor | R+8.0 | D+8.9 | 16.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-04 | VA President | D+4.0 | D+5.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-28 | VA President | R+3.0 | D+5.3 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-30 | VA President | D+12.0 | D+5.3 | 6.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.