Federalist/Susquehanna
3 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 7.8 pts | D+7.8 | 0% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-11 | National President | D+15.0 | R+1.5 | 16.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-04-27 | National President | D+3.0 | R+1.5 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-02-09 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.