Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research
15 scored general-election polls (2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 3.6 pts | R+1.2 | 93% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-14 | GA Senate | D+4.0 | D+2.8 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | National Generic Ballot | R+2.0 | R+2.6 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-08 | PA Governor | D+11.0 | D+14.8 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-08 | PA Senate | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-04 | NH-2 House | D+10.0 | D+11.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-04 | NH-1 House | D+1.0 | D+8.1 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-04 | NH Governor | R+14.0 | R+15.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-04 | NH Senate | D+7.0 | D+9.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-22 | WI Governor | R+3.0 | D+3.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-22 | WI Senate | R+5.0 | R+1.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | AZ Governor | D+1.0 | D+0.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | AZ Senate | D+8.0 | D+4.9 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-08 | AK-1 House | D+6.0 | D+9.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-08 | AK Governor | R+18.0 | R+26.1 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-08 | AK Senate | Even | D+7.4 | 7.4 | — |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.