CVOTER
8 scored general-election polls (2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 8 | 2.0 pts | R+0.1 | 88% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-03 | National President | D+2.8 | D+2.2 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | National President | D+1.1 | D+2.2 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | National President | D+3.1 | D+2.2 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | National President | D+4.7 | D+2.2 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | National President | D+5.5 | D+2.2 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | National President | R+2.5 | D+2.2 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-22 | National President | D+0.7 | D+2.2 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | National President | D+1.2 | D+2.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.