Citizen Data
12 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 12 | 7.6 pts | D+7.6 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-19 | TX Senate | R+0.2 | R+9.6 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | NC Senate | D+6.1 | R+1.8 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-19 | MI Senate | D+3.6 | D+1.7 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | GA Senate | D+6.9 | R+1.8 | 8.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-19 | TX President | D+3.9 | R+5.6 | 9.5 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-19 | PA President | D+5.3 | D+1.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | OH President | R+1.2 | R+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | NC President | D+6.5 | R+1.4 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-19 | MI President | D+8.1 | D+2.8 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | GA President | D+4.4 | D+0.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | FL President | D+4.9 | R+3.4 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-06 | ME Senate | D+8.1 | R+8.6 | 16.7 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.