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4 scored general-election polls (2014) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4 | 6.5 pts | R+3.3 | 75% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-09-27 | MI Senate | R+1.0 | D+13.3 | 14.3 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-23 | SD Senate | R+22.0 | R+20.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-20 | CO Senate | R+6.0 | R+1.9 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-13 | KY Senate | R+9.0 | R+15.5 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.