Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)
3 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3 | 2.5 pts | R+2.5 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-27 | NC Governor | D+1.4 | D+4.5 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC Senate | R+5.3 | R+1.8 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC President | R+2.2 | R+1.4 | 0.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.