Brandwatch Qriously
9 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9 | 5.5 pts | D+5.4 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-31 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-24 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | National President | D+12.0 | D+4.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National President | D+14.0 | D+4.4 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | National President | D+13.0 | D+4.4 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-26 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-19 | National President | D+7.8 | D+4.4 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | National President | D+3.9 | D+4.4 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-05 | National President | D+6.2 | D+4.4 | 1.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.