Bloomberg
29 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | 4.7 pts | D+4.7 | 18% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-20 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-20 | NV President | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-20 | GA President | R+2.0 | R+2.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-20 | AZ President | Even | R+5.5 | 5.5 | — |
| 2024-10-20 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-10-20 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-20 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-10-20 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-09-25 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+3.2 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-25 | NV President | D+7.0 | R+3.1 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-25 | GA President | Even | R+2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| 2024-09-25 | AZ President | D+3.0 | R+5.5 | 8.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-25 | WI President | D+3.0 | R+0.9 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-25 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-25 | PA President | D+6.0 | R+1.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-27 | AZ President | Even | R+5.5 | 5.5 | — |
| 2024-08-26 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+3.2 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | NV President | D+4.0 | R+3.1 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | GA President | D+2.0 | R+2.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | WI President | D+8.0 | R+0.9 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | PA President | D+6.0 | R+1.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-28 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-28 | NV President | D+2.0 | R+3.1 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-28 | GA President | Even | R+2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| 2024-07-28 | AZ President | D+2.0 | R+5.5 | 7.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-28 | WI President | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-28 | MI President | D+11.0 | R+1.4 | 12.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-28 | PA President | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.