Basswood Research
3 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3 | 2.2 pts | R+0.4 | 0% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-04 | AZ Senate | R+1.1 | D+2.4 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-04 | AZ President | R+0.1 | D+0.3 | 0.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-27 | IA-1 House | Even | R+2.6 | 2.6 | — |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.