Ball State University Bowen Center for Public Affairs
3 scored general-election polls (2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 13.3 pts | D+13.3 | 33% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-13 | IN President | R+6.0 | R+19.2 | 13.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | IN Senate | D+6.0 | R+9.7 | 15.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-13 | IN Governor | D+5.0 | R+6.0 | 11.0 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.