AYTM
4 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 3.6 pts | D+3.6 | 75% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-31 | PA President | D+2.0 | D+1.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | GA President | D+4.0 | D+0.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | FL President | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.