Auburn University at Montgomery Department of Political Science and Public Administration
4 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 7.5 pts | D+7.5 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-25 | AL Senate | R+10.9 | R+20.4 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | AL President | R+19.2 | R+25.5 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AL Senate | R+11.9 | R+20.4 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AL President | R+19.6 | R+25.5 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.