Ascend Action
12 scored general-election polls (2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 12.4 pts | D+12.0 | 75% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-05 | OK Senate | R+12.0 | R+26.5 | 14.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | OK Governor | R+3.0 | R+13.7 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | OK Senate | R+20.0 | R+32.2 | 12.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | ME Governor | D+15.0 | D+13.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | OK Senate | R+6.0 | R+26.5 | 20.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | OK Governor | D+3.0 | R+13.7 | 16.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-26 | OK Senate | R+17.0 | R+32.2 | 15.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-11 | OK Senate | R+11.0 | R+26.5 | 15.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-11 | OK Governor | D+7.0 | R+13.7 | 20.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-11 | OK Senate | R+14.0 | R+32.2 | 18.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-09 | AZ Governor | R+1.0 | D+0.7 | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-09 | AZ Senate | D+4.0 | D+4.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.