African American Research Collaborative
3 scored general-election polls (2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3 | 10.5 pts | D+10.5 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-01 | National Generic Ballot | Even | R+2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| 2022-10-08 | FL Governor | R+5.0 | R+19.4 | 14.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-08 | FL Senate | R+2.0 | R+16.4 | 14.4 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.