Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-28 | 437 LV | ±6.00 | Brad Smith 39.00% | Glenn Grothman 61.00% |
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-28 | 437 LV | ±6.00 | Dem % | Glenn Grothman 61.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 WI-06 House race?
Glenn Grothman leads Brad Smith 61% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+22.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 WI-06 House race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 WI-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tavern Research (D) (completed May 28, 2026), found Brad Smith (D) at 39% and Glenn Grothman (R) at 61%.
When is the 2026 WI-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.