Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Smith ✓ | 36,416 | 50.2% | |
| Amanda Bell | 35,946 | 49.6% | |
| Total Write-ins | 153 | 0.2% |
Republican Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Grothman ✓ | — | — |
Green Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Arndt ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-28 | 437 LV | ±6.00 | Brad Smith 39.00% | Glenn Grothman 61.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 WI-06 House race?
Glenn Grothman leads Bradley Smith 61% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+22.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 WI-06 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 WI-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tavern Research (D) (completed May 28, 2026), found Brad Smith (D) at 39% and Glenn Grothman (R) at 61%.
When is the 2026 WI-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
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