Race Overview
Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more.
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | 887 | ±3.30 | Becca Balint 57.00% | Mark Coester 26.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | 887 | ±3.30 | Becca Balint 57.00% | Gerald Malloy 26.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 VT-AL House race?
Rebecca Balint leads Mark Coester 57% to 26% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+31.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 VT-AL House race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VT-AL House race say?
The most recent public poll, from University of New Hampshire (completed June 23, 2026), found Becca Balint (D) at 57% and Mark Coester (R) at 26%.
When is the 2026 VT-AL House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.