Texas District 16

TX-16 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Veronica Escobar ✓ 54,031 100.0%

Republican Runoff

Held May 26, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Adam Bauman ✓ 7,742 68.6%
Manuel J. Barraza 3,547 31.4%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Veronica Escobar
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
State delegation
13D - 25R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+18

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Candidates

Veronica Escobar

Veronica Escobar Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,029,967
Cash on Hand: $256,580

Adam Bauman Nominee

Republican

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 TX-16 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 TX-16 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

Get the daily email and the spending series