Texas District 16

TX-16 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Veronica Escobar 54,031 100.0%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Adam Bauman 4,738 27.9%
Manuel Barraza 3,577 21.1%
Ruben Rios 2,868 16.9%
Raul Castaneda 2,337 13.8%
Marisela Chavez 1,860 11.0%
Deliris Montanez Berrios 1,591 9.4%

Republican Primary Runoff

CandidateVotes%
Manuel J. Barraza 0 0.0%
Adam Bauman 0 0.0%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Veronica Escobar
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Veronica Escobar

Veronica Escobar Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $858,766
Cash on Hand: $270,455

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 TX-16 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 TX-16 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.