Pennsylvania District 7

PA-07 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Bob Brooks 28,232 41.0%
Ryan Crosswell 14,660 21.3%
Lamont McClure 13,736 19.9%
Carol Obando-Derstine 12,237 17.8%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Ryan Mackenzie 35,048 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Ryan Mackenzie
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Toss-up
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+1
2024 Margin
R+3

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+4.0 · 1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Toss-up on Feb 1

Inside Elections

Toss-up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Lean D on Feb 1

Candidates

Ryan Mackenzie

Ryan Mackenzie Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $4,357,405
Cash on Hand: $2,938,717

Bob Brooks Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $2,392,215
Cash on Hand: $1,018,423

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.0%
Republican
43.0%
Margin
D+4.0
Last Poll
Jul 2, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
GBAO (D) partisan·D 2026-07-02 550 LV Bob Brooks 47.00% Ryan Mackenzie 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 PA-07 House race?

Bob Brooks leads Ryan Mackenzie 47% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 PA-07 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-07 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from GBAO (D) (completed July 2, 2026), found Bob Brooks (D) at 47% and Ryan Mackenzie (R) at 43%.

When is the 2026 PA-07 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Lehigh Valley; flipped R 2024

Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago

$4,570,540
Total IE Spending
$3,847,758
Support
$722,783
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.