Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Brooks ✓ | 28,232 | 41.0% | |
| Ryan Crosswell | 14,660 | 21.3% | |
| Lamont McClure | 13,736 | 19.9% | |
| Carol Obando-Derstine | 12,237 | 17.8% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mackenzie ✓ | 35,048 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Ryan Mackenzie Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | 2026-09-20 | 357 RV | ±5.80 | Bob Brooks 45.00% | Ryan Mackenzie 40.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-07 House race?
Bob Brooks leads Ryan Mackenzie 45% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 PA-07 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-07 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Franklin & Marshall College (completed September 20, 2026), found Bob Brooks (D) at 45% and Ryan Mackenzie (R) at 40%.
When is the 2026 PA-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Lehigh Valley; flipped R 2024
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- STRONGER TOGETHER PA Dem-aligned $2,168,172
- LEAD LEFT PAC Mixed $1,672,385
- HMP Dem-aligned $664,954
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $362,648
- JOBS AND DEMOCRACY PAC Dem-aligned $263,250
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $256,078
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $250,000
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $239,076
- RETIRED AMERICANS ACTION Dem-aligned $205,208
- SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) Dem-aligned $178,665
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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