Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Brooks ✓ | 28,232 | 41.0% | |
| Ryan Crosswell | 14,660 | 21.3% | |
| Lamont McClure | 13,736 | 19.9% | |
| Carol Obando-Derstine | 12,237 | 17.8% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mackenzie ✓ | 35,048 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Ryan Mackenzie Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | 2026-09-20 | 357 RV | ±5.80 | Bob Brooks 45.00% | Ryan Mackenzie 40.00% |
| GBAO (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-02 | 550 LV | Bob Brooks 47.00% | Ryan Mackenzie 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-07 House race?
Bob Brooks leads Ryan Mackenzie 46% to 41.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.5 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 PA-07 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-07 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Franklin & Marshall College (completed September 20, 2026), found Bob Brooks (D) at 45% and Ryan Mackenzie (R) at 40%.
When is the 2026 PA-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Lehigh Valley; flipped R 2024
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- STRONGER TOGETHER PA Dem-aligned $2,168,172
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,133,551
- LEAD LEFT PAC Mixed $1,672,385
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $500,000
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $462,159
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $271,500
- JOBS AND DEMOCRACY PAC Dem-aligned $263,250
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $256,078
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $239,076
- RETIRED AMERICANS ACTION Dem-aligned $205,208
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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