New York District 22

NY-22 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
John Mannion ✓ — —

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
John Mannion
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Tilt D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+2
2024 Margin
D+8

These polls test pre-primary pairings. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up

Inside Elections

Toss-up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe Democratic
Changed from Toss-up on Mar 25

Candidates

John Mannion Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $2,694,739
Cash on Hand: $1,842,997

John Joseph Salka

Republican
Total Raised: $8,650
Cash on Hand: $0

John Lemondes

Republican
Total Raised: $41,022
Cash on Hand: $409

Kailee Buller

Republican
Total Raised: $267,339
Cash on Hand: $186,587

William A Staton IV

Independent
Total Raised: $16,344
Cash on Hand: $16,358

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NY-22 House race?

Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.

Is the 2026 NY-22 House race competitive?

the expert consensus currently rates this race Tilt D.

When is the 2026 NY-22 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Central NY; flipped D 2024

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$1,817
Total IE Spending
$1,786
Support
$31
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.