New York District 2

NY-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Republican Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Andrew Garbarino ✓ — —

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Andrew Garbarino
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
19D - 7R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+4

These polls test pre-primary pairings. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

Andrew Garbarino

Andrew Garbarino Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $3,987,832
Cash on Hand: $3,318,068

Garrett Petersen

Democrat
Total Raised: $23,797
Cash on Hand: $0

Jessica Nicole Murphy

Democrat
Total Raised: $95,774
Cash on Hand: $0
Patrick Halpin

Patrick Halpin

Democrat
Total Raised: $576,578
Cash on Hand: $46,153

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NY-02 House race?

Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.

Is the 2026 NY-02 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 NY-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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