Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LaKesha Womack ✓ | 20,641 | 52.2% | |
| Brent Caldwell | 16,513 | 41.8% | |
| Ahmid Kargbo | 2,361 | 6.0% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Moore ✓ | 42,545 | 83.0% | |
| Kate Barr | 8,699 | 17.0% |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research Partners (R) | 2026-03-12 | 400 LV | ±5.00 | Lakesha Womack 40.00% | Tim Moore 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NC-14 House race?
Tim Moore leads LaKesha Womack 48% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+8.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NC-14 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-14 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Ragnar Research Partners (R) (completed March 12, 2026), found Lakesha Womack (D) at 40% and Tim Moore (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 NC-14 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Flipped R 2024; former NC House Speaker
Independent Expenditures Updated 2 hours ago
Top Spenders
- DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS GOP-aligned $40,474
- RED WINE AND BLUE GOP-aligned $231
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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