North Carolina District 7

NC-07 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kimberly Hardy

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
David Rouzer 43,577 80.5%
David Buzzard 10,562 19.5%

Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
David Rouzer
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

David Rouzer

David Rouzer Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $1,990,423
Cash on Hand: $2,301,487

Kimberly Hardy Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $293,818
Cash on Hand: $65,017

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
39.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
R+6.0
Last Poll
Aug 20, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 D-sponsored 2026-08-20 517 LV Kimberly Hardy 39.00% David Rouzer 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NC-07 House race?

David Rouzer leads Kimberly Hardy 45% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 NC-07 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-07 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed August 20, 2026), found Kimberly Hardy (D) at 39% and David Rouzer (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 NC-07 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.