North Carolina District 7

NC-07 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kimberly Hardy ✓ — —

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
David Rouzer ✓ 43,577 80.5%
David Buzzard 10,562 19.5%

Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
David Rouzer
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
4D - 10R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

David Rouzer

David Rouzer Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,496,824
Cash on Hand: $2,104,837

Kimberly Hardy Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $376,110
Cash on Hand: $25,082

Maad Abu-Ghazalah

Libertarian
Total Raised: $7,948
Cash on Hand: $279

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
39.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
R+6.0
Last Poll
Aug 20, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 D-sponsored 2026-08-20 517 LV Kimberly Hardy 39.00% David Rouzer 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NC-07 House race?

David Rouzer leads Kimberly Hardy 45% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 NC-07 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-07 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed August 20, 2026), found Kimberly Hardy (D) at 39% and David Rouzer (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 NC-07 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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