Illinois District 16

IL-16 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 17, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Paul Nolley 38,665 100.0%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Darin LaHood 52,914 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Illinois primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Darin LaHood
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Darin LaHood

Darin LaHood Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $3,672,739
Cash on Hand: $6,748,621
Paul Nolley

Paul Nolley Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $415,748
Cash on Hand: $230,141

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 IL-16 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 IL-16 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.