Illinois District 16

IL-16 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 17, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Paul Nolley ✓ 38,665 100.0%

Republican Primary

Held March 17, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Darin LaHood ✓ 52,914 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Illinois primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Darin LaHood
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
14D - 3R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

Darin LaHood

Darin LaHood Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $4,159,074
Cash on Hand: $6,318,519
Paul Nolley

Paul Nolley Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $605,010
Cash on Hand: $289,001

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 IL-16 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 IL-16 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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