Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Yonce | 13,461 | 32.1% | |
| Ronnie "Ron" Murchinson-Rivera | 11,256 | 26.9% | |
| Steve Morgan | 9,758 | 23.3% | |
| Robert David Cooper II | 7,407 | 17.7% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Fine ✓ | 51,076 | 55.1% | |
| Dan Bilzerian | 19,547 | 21.1% | |
| Aaron Baker | 12,102 | 13.1% | |
| Charles Gambaro | 8,713 | 9.4% | |
| Manuel P. Asensio | 1,246 | 1.3% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
These polls test pre-primary pairings. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.
Candidates
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 FL-06 House race?
Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.
Is the 2026 FL-06 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 FL-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Won special election April 2025 after Waltz became NSA
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CONSTITUTIONAL LIBERTY GOP-aligned $60,932
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.
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