Florida District 1

FL-01 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Republican Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jimmy Patronis ✓ 62,911 71.1%
John Frankman 17,256 19.5%
Douglas Chico ✓ 8,276 9.4%
3% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jimmy Patronis
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+22

These polls test pre-primary pairings. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Jennifer Gay Valimont Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $174,309
Cash on Hand: $21,814

Aaron Dimmock

Republican
Total Raised: $50,636
Cash on Hand: $181

Douglas Connor Chico

Republican
Total Raised: $84,387
Cash on Hand: $10,857
Jimmy Patronis Jr

Jimmy Patronis Jr

Republican
Total Raised: $3,789,738
Cash on Hand: $935,302

John Frankman

Republican
Total Raised: $128,494
Cash on Hand: $62,322

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 FL-01 House race?

Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.

Is the 2026 FL-01 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Won special election April 2025 after Gaetz resigned

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$60,932
Total IE Spending
$60,932
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.