California District 51

CA-51 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Sara Jacobs 111,765 57.7%
David W. Engel 6,173 3.2%
Stan Caplan 3,943 2.0%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Ricardo Cabrera 71,692 37.0%

Full calendar and every race: California primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Sara Jacobs
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Sara Jacobs

Sara Jacobs Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,639,893
Cash on Hand: $269,452

Ricardo Cabrera Nominee

Republican

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 CA-51 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 CA-51 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.