California District 51

CA-51 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sara Jacobs ✓ 111,765 57.7%
David W. Engel 6,173 3.2%
Stan Caplan 3,943 2.0%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Ricardo Cabrera ✓ 71,692 37.0%

Full calendar and every race: California primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Sara Jacobs
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
State delegation
43D - 9R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+18

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Candidates

Sara Jacobs

Sara Jacobs Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,842,426
Cash on Hand: $323,437

Ricardo Cabrera Nominee

Republican

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 CA-51 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 CA-51 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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