California District 21

CA-21 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jim Costa ✓ 43,461 42.2%
Lourin Hubbard 10,577 10.3%
Eric Garcia 5,232 5.1%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kyle Kirkland ✓ 27,076 26.3%
Lorenzo Rios 15,362 14.9%

No party preference Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Lance Kruse 1,213 1.2%

Full calendar and every race: California primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jim Costa
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Likely D expert avg
State delegation
43D - 9R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+3

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Democratic

Candidates

Jim Costa

Jim Costa Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,603,810
Cash on Hand: $658,231

Kyle Kirkland Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $457,231
Cash on Hand: $6,513

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 CA-21 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 CA-21 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$4,965
Total IE Spending
$413
Support
$4,552
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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