California District 21

CA-21 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Jim Costa 43,461 42.2%
Lourin Hubbard 10,577 10.3%
Eric Garcia 5,232 5.1%

No party preference Primary

CandidateVotes%
Lance Kruse 1,213 1.2%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Kyle Kirkland 27,076 26.3%
Lorenzo Rios 15,362 14.9%

Full calendar and every race: California primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jim Costa
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Lean D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+3

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Lean D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Jim Costa

Jim Costa Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,337,630
Cash on Hand: $937,779

Kyle Kirkland Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $338,971
Cash on Hand: $17,934

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 CA-21 House race competitive?

Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.

When is the 2026 CA-21 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 8 hours ago

$4,965
Total IE Spending
$413
Support
$4,552
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.