California District 1

CA-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Mike McGuire 92,121 41.8%
Audrey Denney 31,378 14.2%
Janice Karman 1,697 0.8%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
James Gallagher 92,975 42.1%

No party preference Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Timothy Sean Kelly 1,640 0.7%
Richard Minner 784 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: California primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (James Gallagher)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely D expert avg
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Likely D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Mike McGuire Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,827,711
Cash on Hand: $152,606

James Gallagher Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,488,906
Cash on Hand: $332,899

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 CA-01 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 CA-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$563,778
Total IE Spending
$563,778
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.