Arizona District 4

AZ-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Greg Stanton 32,345 65.0%
Kai Newkirk 17,397 35.0%

Republican Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Zuhdi Jasser

No Labels Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
John Fillmore
Tisha Benoit

Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Greg Stanton
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Likely D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+5

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Likely D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Greg Stanton

Greg Stanton Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $2,117,114
Cash on Hand: $2,020,289

Zuhdi Jasser Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $564,641
Cash on Hand: $341,651

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 AZ-04 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 AZ-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$338,776
Total IE Spending
$338,776
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.