Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Moore ✓ | 558,605 | 88.3% | |
| Eric Felber | 74,288 | 11.7% |
Republican Primary
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Cox ✓ | 89,964 | 43.3% | |
| Ed Hale | 74,870 | 36.0% | |
| John Myrick | 13,200 | 6.4% | |
| Carl Brunner | 12,695 | 6.1% | |
| Shannon Wright | 4,905 | 2.4% | |
| L. D. Burkindine | 3,744 | 1.8% | |
| Nancy Taylor | 3,689 | 1.8% | |
| Michael Oakes | 2,581 | 1.2% | |
| Douglas Larcomb | 2,132 | 1.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Maryland primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC In average | 2026-09-27 this poll | 776 LV | ±3.50 | Wes Moore 51.00% | Dan Cox 24.00% |
| Zenith Research D-sponsored In average | 2026-07-27 this poll | 800 LV | ±3.50 | Wes Moore 58.00% | Dan Cox 31.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Maryland governor's race?
Wes Moore leads Dan Cox 54.5% to 27.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+27.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 Maryland governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Maryland governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from UMBC (completed September 27, 2026), found Wes Moore (D) at 51% and Dan Cox (R) at 24%.
When is the 2026 Maryland governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor
Race News
Get the daily email and the spending series
We store the address and the time you agree. No email is sent yet.