Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling
4 scored general-election polls (2018–2021) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 4.8 pts | D+4.8 | 100% |
| 2020 | 2 | 10.9 pts | D+10.9 | 100% |
| 2018 | 1 | 6.2 pts | R+6.2 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-24 | NJ Governor | D+8.0 | D+3.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-21 | NJ Senate | D+30.0 | D+16.3 | 13.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-21 | NJ President | D+24.0 | D+15.9 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-16 | NJ Senate | D+5.0 | D+11.2 | 6.2 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.