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IMGE Insights

3 scored general-election polls (2017) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2017 3 5.9 pts R+5.9 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2017-11-04 VA Governor D+1.0 D+8.9 7.9 ✓
2017-10-23 VA Governor D+4.0 D+8.9 4.9 ✓
2017-09-15 VA Governor D+4.0 D+8.9 4.9 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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