High Point University Survey Research Center
8 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-03 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | NC Senate | R+5.0 | R+5.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | NC Governor | D+7.0 | D+0.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-19 | NC Senate | R+2.0 | R+5.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | NC Governor | D+9.0 | D+0.2 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-04 | NC Senate | R+0.9 | R+1.6 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-15 | NC Senate | D+2.0 | R+1.6 | 3.6 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.