East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
18 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 | GA Governor | R+8.0 | R+7.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-04 | GA Senate | Even | D+1.0 | 1.0 | — |
| 2022-11-02 | NC Senate | R+4.9 | R+3.2 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-15 | GA Governor | R+7.3 | R+7.5 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-15 | GA Senate | D+2.2 | D+1.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-12 | NC Senate | R+6.0 | R+3.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-09 | NC Senate | R+2.8 | R+3.2 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC Governor | D+11.0 | D+4.5 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC Senate | D+1.5 | R+1.8 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC President | D+2.7 | R+1.4 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-24 | SC Senate | R+1.8 | R+10.3 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-24 | SC President | R+7.7 | R+11.7 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | NC Governor | D+12.1 | D+4.5 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | NC Senate | D+1.4 | R+1.8 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-17 | NC President | D+3.2 | R+1.4 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | NC Governor | D+14.0 | D+4.5 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NC Senate | R+0.3 | R+1.8 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NC President | D+3.2 | R+1.4 | 4.6 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.