AtlasIntel
16 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-06 | National Generic Ballot | R+3.1 | R+2.6 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | GA Senate | R+3.2 | D+1.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2021-01-03 | GA Senate | D+4.5 | D+1.2 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2021-01-03 | GA Senate | D+3.9 | D+2.1 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-12-29 | GA Senate | D+4.3 | D+1.2 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-12-29 | GA Senate | D+4.2 | D+2.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | WI President | D+1.9 | D+0.6 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | TX President | R+2.7 | R+5.6 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+1.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | MI President | D+2.4 | D+2.8 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | GA President | R+2.2 | D+0.2 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | AZ President | R+2.3 | D+0.3 | 2.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-29 | PA President | R+1.1 | D+1.2 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-29 | OH President | R+3.9 | R+8.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | FL President | D+0.1 | R+3.4 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | National President | D+4.7 | D+4.4 | 0.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.