Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Becca Balint ✓ | 78,603 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Malloy ✓ | 15,347 | 77.8% | |
| Mark Coester | 4,371 | 22.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Vermont primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research/Vermont Public Not in average | 2026-09-21 this poll | 732 LV | ±3.40 | Becca Balint 47.00% | Gerald Malloy 30.00% |
| University of New Hampshire Not in average | 2026-09-21 this poll | 835 LV | ±3.40 | Becca Balint 66.00% | Gerald Malloy 30.00% |
| University of New Hampshire Not in average | 2026-07-20 this poll | 954 LV | ±3.20 | Becca Balint 63.00% | Gerald Malloy 25.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 VT-AL House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VT-AL House race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Braun Research/Vermont Public (completed September 21, 2026), found Becca Balint (D) at 47% and Gerald Malloy (R) at 30%.
When is the 2026 VT-AL House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.
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