Primary
Primary held March 3, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Finnie ✓ | 48,700 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Toth ✓ | 36,830 | 55.8% | |
| Dan Crenshaw | 26,859 | 40.7% | |
| Martin Etwop | 1,216 | 1.8% | |
| Nicholas Lee Plumb | 1,106 | 1.7% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
Incumbent
Dan Crenshaw — defeated in primary
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 TX-02 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 TX-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.