Texas District 2

TX-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Shaun Finnie ✓ 48,700 100.0%

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Steve Toth ✓ 36,760 55.8%
Dan Crenshaw 26,764 40.7%
Martin Etwop 1,211 1.8%
Nicholas Lee Plumb 1,104 1.7%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Dan Crenshaw)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
13D - 25R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+12

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

Shaun Finnie Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,131,705
Cash on Hand: $414,170
Steve Toth

Steve Toth Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $976,355
Cash on Hand: $167,611

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 TX-02 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 TX-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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