Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 6, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin J. Pearson ✓ | 32,132 | 65.7% | |
| London Lamar | 11,897 | 24.3% | |
| M. LaTroy A-Williams | 3,320 | 6.8% | |
| Jim Torino | 1,542 | 3.2% |
Republican Primary
Held August 6, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Taylor ✓ | 31,125 | 45.9% | |
| Todd Warner | 17,829 | 26.3% | |
| Jeremy Thompson | 13,655 | 20.2% | |
| Charlotte Bergmann | 5,161 | 7.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates (D) D-sponsored | 2026-09-03 | 400 LV | Justin Pearson 44.00% | Brent Taylor 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TN-09 House race?
Brent Taylor leads Justin Pearson 48% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 TN-09 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TN-09 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hart Research Associates (D) (completed September 3, 2026), found Justin Pearson (D) at 44% and Brent Taylor (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 TN-09 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
[20260806: open-seat flag — incumbent retiring or seeking other office]
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