Primary
Primary held May 19, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wagner ✓ | 49,371 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kelly ✓ | 44,236 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Mike Kelly Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanAverage reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 PA-16 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 PA-16 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.