New York District 12

NY-12 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Micah Lasher ✓ 40,106 39.1%
Alex Bores 35,822 35.0%
Jack Schlossberg 11,036 10.8%
Nina Schwalbe 7,266 7.1%
George Conway 6,212 6.1%
Laura Dunn 1,361 1.3%
Patrick Timmins 306 0.3%
Chris Diep 194 0.2%
Total Write-ins 160 0.2%

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Jerry Nadler)
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
State delegation
19D - 7R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
D+30

These polls test pre-primary pairings. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Candidates

Micah Charles Lasher

Micah Charles Lasher Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,440,762
Cash on Hand: $278,092

Amy Jordan

Republican
Total Raised: $58,897
Cash on Hand: $0

Caroline Shinkle

Republican
Total Raised: $247,198
Cash on Hand: $134,164

Massimiliano Zappone

Republican
Total Raised: $15,131
Cash on Hand: $3,118

Karen Ortiz

Independent
Total Raised: $46,268
Cash on Hand: $23,469

Wilneida Negron

O
Total Raised: $57,807
Cash on Hand: $6,087

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NY-12 House race?

Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.

Is the 2026 NY-12 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 NY-12 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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