New Mexico District 3

NM-03 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Teresa Leger Fernández ✓ 68,768 100.0%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Martin Zamora ✓ 32,901 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: New Mexico primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Teresa Leger Fernandez
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
State delegation
3D - 0R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+12

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+14.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Candidates

Teresa Leger Fernández Nominee

Democrat

Martin R Zamora Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $598,684
Cash on Hand: $147,936

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
53.0%
Republican
39.0%
Margin
D+14.0
Last Poll
Oct 9, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Research & Polling 2026-10-09 362 LV ±5.20 Teresa Leger Fernández 53.00% Martin Zamora 39.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NM-03 House race?

Teresa Leger Fernández leads Martin R Zamora 53% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+14.0 margin based on 1 poll, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 NM-03 House race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NM-03 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Research & Polling (completed October 9, 2026), found Teresa Leger Fernández (D) at 53% and Martin Zamora (R) at 39%.

When is the 2026 NM-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

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