Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Bell ✓ | 19,472 | 47.3% | |
| West Caudle | 6,404 | 15.6% | |
| Harry Morley | 4,672 | 11.4% | |
| Marcus Pearson | 4,070 | 9.9% | |
| Mir Yarfitz | 3,952 | 9.6% | |
| Ralph Scott Jr. | 2,591 | 6.3% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Harrigan ✓ | 46,270 | 87.7% | |
| Matt Sin | 6,509 | 12.3% |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Pat Harrigan Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NC-10 House race?
the Republican leads the Democrat 52% to 37% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+15.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NC-10 House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 NC-10 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Replaced Patrick McHenry who retired
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.