North Carolina District 10

NC-10 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Ashley Bell 19,472 47.3%
West Caudle 6,404 15.6%
Harry Morley 4,672 11.4%
Marcus Pearson 4,070 9.9%
Mir Yarfitz 3,952 9.6%
Ralph Scott Jr. 2,591 6.3%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Pat Harrigan 46,270 87.7%
Matt Sin 6,509 12.3%

Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Pat Harrigan
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+14

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Pat Harrigan

Pat Harrigan Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $1,081,821
Cash on Hand: $451,275

Ashley Bell Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $84,024
Cash on Hand: $26,174

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 NC-10 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 NC-10 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Replaced Patrick McHenry who retired

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.