Missouri District 3

MO-03 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Bethany E Mann 39,279 69.1%
Tommy Holstein 10,049 17.7%
Paul T. Wilson 7,519 13.2%

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Bob Onder 66,668 66.3%
John G Fraser 33,853 33.7%

Full calendar and every race: Missouri primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bob Onder
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Bethany Mann Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $43,339
Cash on Hand: $2,776

Robert Onder Jr Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $950,350
Cash on Hand: $471,459

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 MO-03 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 MO-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Replaced Blaine Luetkemeyer who retired

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.