Missouri District 3

MO-03 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Missouri primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bob Onder
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Bethany Mann

Democrat
Total Raised: $41,591
Cash on Hand: $3,975

Tommy Holstein

Democrat
Total Raised: $8,930
Cash on Hand: $2,539

John Fraser

Republican
Total Raised: $10,196
Cash on Hand: $-1,674

Robert Onder Jr

Republican
Total Raised: $940,192
Cash on Hand: $485,084

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 MO-03 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 MO-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Replaced Blaine Luetkemeyer who retired

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.