Maryland District 1

MD-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Dan Schwartz ✓ 19,811 46.3%
Randi White 15,720 36.7%
Victor Allen Guidice 4,270 10.0%
George Walish 3,003 7.0%

Republican Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Andy Harris ✓ 54,112 79.7%
Chris Bruneau 13,785 20.3%

Full calendar and every race: Maryland primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Andy Harris
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Andy Harris Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,319,668
Cash on Hand: $1,853,603

Dan Schwartz Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $695,170
Cash on Hand: $72,575

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
39.0%
Republican
52.0%
Margin
R+13.0
Last Poll
Jul 27, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Z to A Research (D) D-sponsored 2026-07-27 482 LV ±4.46 Dan Schwartz 39.00% Andy Harris 52.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 MD-01 House race?

Andy Harris leads Dan Schwartz 52% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+13.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 MD-01 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 MD-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Z to A Research (D) (completed July 27, 2026), found Dan Schwartz (D) at 39% and Andy Harris (R) at 52%.

When is the 2026 MD-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.