Kentucky District 4

KY-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Melissa Claire Strange 30,108 72.4%
Jesse Russell Brewer 11,461 27.6%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Ed Gallrein 57,822 54.9%
Thomas Massie 47,539 45.1%

Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Thomas Massie — defeated in primary
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+22

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Melissa Claire Strange Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $94,464
Cash on Hand: $11,145
Ed Gallrein

Ed Gallrein Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $3,567,324
Cash on Hand: $179,309

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 KY-04 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 KY-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.