Kentucky District 4

KY-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Melissa Claire Strange ✓ 30,108 72.4%
Jesse Russell Brewer 11,461 27.6%

Republican Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Ed Gallrein ✓ 57,822 54.9%
Thomas Massie 47,539 45.1%

Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Thomas Massie)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
1D - 5R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+22

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

Melissa Claire Strange Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $146,121
Cash on Hand: $44,039
Ed Gallrein

Ed Gallrein Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $4,005,181
Cash on Hand: $421,969

Jeremy Ryan Todd

Libertarian
Total Raised: $28,629
Cash on Hand: $1,896

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 KY-04 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 KY-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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