Kentucky District 3

KY-03 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Maria Teresa Rodriguez 15,855 48.2%
David Joseph Nichter 6,807 20.7%
Daniel Cobble 5,893 17.9%
Donald Pay 4,313 13.1%

Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Morgan McGarvey
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+15

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Maria Teresa Rodriguez Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $25,659
Cash on Hand: $21,372

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 KY-03 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 KY-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.