Kansas District 4

KS-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Kansas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Ron Estes
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Ron Estes

Ron Estes Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $1,841,348
Cash on Hand: $1,766,575

Chris Carmichael

Democrat
Total Raised: $93,010
Cash on Hand: $16,343

Katy Tyndell

Democrat
Total Raised: $216,090
Cash on Hand: $103,985

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 KS-04 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 KS-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.